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United to win the 2026 MLS Cup", "closes": "Dec 2026", "volM": 0.019, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701753026 }, { "id": "BBH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Boston Bruins to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.013, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702050408 }, { "id": "ROKVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Ro Khanna to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.005, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 5.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683750569 }, { "id": "IONUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "IonQ, Inc. to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 12, "polymarket": 15 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788378386699, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683750569 }, { "id": "RAPVD28", "cat": 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nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.006, "px": { "kalshi": 5, "polymarket": 8.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684655027 }, { "id": "MANSS26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "Man I Need to be Spotify's top song of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685256660 }, { "id": "AJHAM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "A.J. Hinch to win 2026 AL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685256660 }, { "id": "CRIBL26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Critical-minerals stockpile to become law in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 21, "polymarket": 20 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788685560773, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686156335 }, { "id": "RONR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Ron DeSantis to win the 2028 Republican nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 15.7, "px": { "kalshi": 5, "polymarket": 2.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695455825 }, { "id": "RAHD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Rahm Emanuel to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 14.8, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 2.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695455825 }, { "id": "TUCR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Tucker Carlson to win the 2028 Republican nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 13.8, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 3.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695455825 }, { "id": "HTN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Houston Texans to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 2.2, "px": { "kalshi": 5, "polymarket": 4.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696952940 }, { "id": "GRAFP27", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Gérald Darmanin to win the 2027 French presidential election", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 2, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696952940 }, { "id": "FCS26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "FC Cincinnati to win the 2026 MLS Cup", "closes": "Dec 2026", "volM": 1.6, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 3.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697255806 }, { "id": "TTN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Tennessee Titans to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 1.5, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697255806 }, { "id": "SDPM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "San Diego Padres to win the 2026 World Series", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 1.5, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 1.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697554063 }, { "id": "JEAFP272", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Jean-Luc Mélenchon to win the 2027 French presidential election", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 1.3, "px": { "kalshi": 14, "polymarket": 13 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697554063 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872661CAR", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Carolina Panthers to win Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.006, "px": { "kalshi": 41, "polymarket": 41 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872661", "label": "Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears", "matchup": "Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872661" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686756342 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872661CHI", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Chicago Bears to win Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.065, "px": { "kalshi": 59, "polymarket": 60 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872661", "label": "Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears", "matchup": "Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872661" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686756342 }, { "id": "SJES26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "San Jose Earthquakes to win the 2026 MLS Cup", "closes": "Dec 2026", "volM": 1.2, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 1.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697855228 }, { "id": "CGM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Cleveland Guardians to win the 2026 World Series", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 1.1, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 2.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697855228 }, { "id": "BOUE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Bournemouth to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 0.599, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699052707 }, { "id": "THESA26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "The Weeknd to be Spotify's top artist of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.154, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699955334 }, { "id": "KENSA26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "Kendrick Lamar to be Spotify's top artist of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.112, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699955334 }, { "id": "AUFS26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Atlanta United FC to win the 2026 MLS Cup", "closes": "Dec 2026", "volM": 0.103, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699955334 }, { "id": "BOAC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Baltimore Orioles to win the 2026 American League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.071, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 1.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700557054 }, { "id": "ELIUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "Eli Lilly and Company to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 17, "polymarket": 11 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788555343888, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683750569 }, { "id": "TORNM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Torey Lovullo to win 2026 NL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 6.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684351141 }, { "id": "ELIVR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Elise Stefanik to win the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 10 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684655027 }, { "id": "TULVR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Tulsi Gabbard to win the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684655027 }, { "id": "GERAY26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Gerrit Cole to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685560773 }, { "id": "DGNCAAF01856661MISS", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Ole Miss Rebels to win Ole Miss Rebels vs Louisville Cardinals", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.289, "px": { "kalshi": 71, "polymarket": 71 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ncaaf-401856661", "label": "Ole Miss Rebels vs Louisville Cardinals", "matchup": "Ole Miss Rebels vs Louisville Cardinals", "at": "2026-09-06T23:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/college-football/", "importance": 68, "leagueLabel": "College Football", "stage": "COLLEGE FOOTBALL", "avatar": "NCAAF", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "college-football", "eventId": "401856661" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 9349, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 7:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.0005, "at": 1788687652274 }, { "id": "DGNCAAF01856661LOU", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Louisville Cardinals to win Ole Miss Rebels vs Louisville Cardinals", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.035, "px": { "kalshi": 30, "polymarket": 30 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ncaaf-401856661", "label": "Ole Miss Rebels vs Louisville Cardinals", "matchup": "Ole Miss Rebels vs Louisville Cardinals", "at": "2026-09-06T23:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/college-football/", "importance": 68, "leagueLabel": "College Football", "stage": "COLLEGE FOOTBALL", "avatar": "NCAAF", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "college-football", "eventId": "401856661" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 9349, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 7:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788687652274 }, { "id": "RAPD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Raphael Warnock to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 32.1, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695149598 }, { "id": "TEDR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Ted Cruz to win the 2028 Republican nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 19.3, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 1.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695149598 }, { "id": "DECFS262", "cat": "Economics", "q": "Decrease rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 Fed meeting", "closes": "Sep 16", "volM": 10.2, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696053391 }, { "id": "PETR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Pete Hegseth to win the 2028 Republican nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 9.3, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696053391 }, { "id": "MCE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Manchester City to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 2.2, "px": { "kalshi": 24, "polymarket": 27 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696952940 }, { "id": "MARFP27", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Marine Le Pen to win the 2027 French presidential election", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 2.1, "px": { "kalshi": 40, "polymarket": 35.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788677423960, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696952940 }, { "id": "AFN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Atlanta Falcons to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 1.1, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697855228 }, { "id": "MVN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Minnesota Vikings to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 1.2, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 1.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697855228 }, { "id": "KCRAC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Kansas City Royals to win the 2026 American League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.857, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698159808 }, { "id": "NOPB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "New Orleans Pelicans to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.845, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698159808 }, { "id": "HRB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Houston Rockets to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.792, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 1.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698456234 }, { "id": "HCE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Hull City to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 0.75, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.4 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698456234 }, { "id": "LAAAC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Los Angeles Angels to win the 2026 American League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.328, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699665449 }, { "id": "DTAC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Detroit Tigers to win the 2026 American League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.129, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 1.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699955334 }, { "id": "CHASA26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "Chappell Roan to be Spotify's top artist of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.044, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700853281 }, { "id": "SWISS26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "Swim to be Spotify's top song of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.047, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 3.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788662438758, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700853281 }, { "id": "MCH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Montreal Canadiens to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.027, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 3.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701453584 }, { "id": "PFH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Philadelphia Flyers to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.013, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 1.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788682851465 }, { "id": "TBLH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Tampa Bay Lightning to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.013, "px": { "kalshi": 7, "polymarket": 7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788682851465 }, { "id": "FIOCL26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Fiona Ma to win the 2026 California Lieutenant Governor election", "closes": "Nov 3", "volM": 0.012, "px": { "kalshi": 96, "polymarket": 95 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788682851465 }, { "id": "GLOUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "GlobalFoundries Inc. to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.007, "px": { "kalshi": 84, "polymarket": 87.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788554755948, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683148489 }, { "id": "CLANM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Clayton McCullough to win 2026 NL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.007, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 2.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683148489 }, { "id": "PFIUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "Pfizer Inc. to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.006, "px": { "kalshi": 8, "polymarket": 5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683148489 }, { "id": "JOEAY26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Joe Ryan to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.005, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683750569 }, { "id": "NOCFS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "No change in rates after the September 2026 Fed meeting", "closes": "Sep 16", "volM": 28.1, "px": { "kalshi": 49, "polymarket": 50 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788531659925, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695149598 }, { "id": "CHRD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Chris Murphy to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 17.3, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695455825 }, { "id": "DONR282", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Donald Trump to win the 2028 Republican nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 9.5, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 2.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696053391 }, { "id": "GLER28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Glenn Youngkin to win the 2028 Republican nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 8.7, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696053391 }, { "id": "HAAC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Houston Astros to win the 2026 American League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.835, "px": { "kalshi": 13, "polymarket": 10.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698456234 }, { "id": "BBN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Buffalo Bills to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 1.1, "px": { "kalshi": 8, "polymarket": 9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698456234 }, { "id": "NEPN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "New England Patriots to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.801, "px": { "kalshi": 5, "polymarket": 3.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698753447 }, { "id": "KEVAM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Kevin Cash to win 2026 AL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.031, "px": { "kalshi": 12, "polymarket": 12.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788586284232, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701753026 }, { "id": "TERNM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Terry Francona to win 2026 NL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.004, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683750569 }, { "id": "BYRVR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Byron Donalds to win the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 3.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684655027 }, { "id": "JOSVR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Josh Hawley to win the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 5.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684655027 }, { "id": "JOND28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Jon Stewart to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 24.7, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695149598 }, { "id": "RICFP27", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Éric Zemmour to win the 2027 French presidential election", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 2.1, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 0.4 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696952940 }, { "id": "JORFP27", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Jordan Bardella to win the 2027 French presidential election", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 2, "px": { "kalshi": 5, "polymarket": 2.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696952940 }, { "id": "DOMFP27", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Dominique de Villepin to win the 2027 French presidential election", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 1.7, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 1.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697255806 }, { "id": "NYYAC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "New York Yankees to win the 2026 American League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.261, "px": { "kalshi": 29, "polymarket": 26 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788681030366, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700557054 }, { "id": "TMLH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Toronto Maple Leafs to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.024, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 3.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701453584 }, { "id": "OPEUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "OpenAI to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.022, "px": { "kalshi": 11, "polymarket": 15 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788682851465 }, { "id": "CHIEB26", "cat": "World", "q": "China to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.004, "px": { "kalshi": 12, "polymarket": 20 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788555054528, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683453613 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872930NYG", "cat": "Sports", "q": "New York Giants to win New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys", "closes": "Sep 14", "volM": 0.046, "px": { "kalshi": 41, "polymarket": 41 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872930", "label": "New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys", "matchup": "New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys", "at": "2026-09-14T00:20:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872930" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 9171, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 8:20 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788687056343 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872930DAL", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Dallas Cowboys to win New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys", "closes": "Sep 14", "volM": 0.127, "px": { "kalshi": 61, "polymarket": 61 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872930", "label": "New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys", "matchup": "New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys", "at": "2026-09-14T00:20:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872930" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 9171, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 8:20 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788687056343 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882892ESP", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Espanyol to win Espanyol vs Sevilla", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 43, "polymarket": 43 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882892", "label": "Espanyol vs Sevilla", "matchup": "Espanyol vs Sevilla", "at": "2026-09-06T19:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882892" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 8304, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 3:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788688861169 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882892SEV", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Sevilla to win Espanyol vs Sevilla", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 29, "polymarket": 28 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882892", "label": "Espanyol vs Sevilla", "matchup": "Espanyol vs Sevilla", "at": "2026-09-06T19:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882892" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 8304, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 3:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788688861169 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882892DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Espanyol vs Sevilla", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 30, "polymarket": 30 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882892", "label": "Espanyol vs Sevilla", "matchup": "Espanyol vs Sevilla", "at": "2026-09-06T19:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882892" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 8304, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 3:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788688861169 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882883LEV", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Levante to win Levante vs Barcelona", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 10, "polymarket": 10 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882883", "label": "Levante vs Barcelona", "matchup": "Levante vs Barcelona", "at": "2026-09-13T14:15:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882883" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1428, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 10:15 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689156821 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882883BAR", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Barcelona to win Levante vs Barcelona", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 78, "polymarket": 77 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882883", "label": "Levante vs Barcelona", "matchup": "Levante vs Barcelona", "at": "2026-09-13T14:15:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882883" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1428, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 10:15 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689156821 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882883DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Levante vs Barcelona", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 14, "polymarket": 16 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882883", "label": "Levante vs Barcelona", "matchup": "Levante vs Barcelona", "at": "2026-09-13T14:15:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882883" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1428, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 10:15 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689156821 }, { "id": "DGBUNDE01884791ELV", "cat": "Sports", "q": "SV Elversberg to win SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 8, "polymarket": 8 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-bundesliga-401884791", "label": "SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich", "matchup": "SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich", "at": "2026-09-13T15:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/bundesliga/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Bundesliga", "stage": "BUNDESLIGA", "avatar": "BUNDESLIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ger.1", "eventId": "401884791" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2369, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 11:30 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788627370309, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689156821 }, { "id": "DGBUNDE01884791MUN", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Bayern Munich to win SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 81, "polymarket": 83 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-bundesliga-401884791", "label": "SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich", "matchup": "SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich", "at": "2026-09-13T15:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/bundesliga/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Bundesliga", "stage": "BUNDESLIGA", "avatar": "BUNDESLIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ger.1", "eventId": "401884791" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2369, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 11:30 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788651323487, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689156821 }, { "id": "DGBUNDE01884791DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 11, "polymarket": 12 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-bundesliga-401884791", "label": "SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich", "matchup": "SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich", "at": "2026-09-13T15:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/bundesliga/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Bundesliga", "stage": "BUNDESLIGA", "avatar": "BUNDESLIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ger.1", "eventId": "401884791" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2369, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 11:30 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689156821 }, { "id": "INCFS262", "cat": "Economics", "q": "Increase rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 Fed meeting", "closes": "Sep 16", "volM": 12.8, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 0.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695749316 }, { "id": "VALFD26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Valtteri Bottas to win the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship", "closes": "Dec 6", "volM": 12.2, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695749316 }, { "id": "LANFD26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Lance Stroll to win the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship", "closes": "Dec 6", "volM": 11.7, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695749316 }, { "id": "GABFD26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Gabriel Bortoleto to win the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship", "closes": "Dec 6", "volM": 10.9, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695749316 }, { "id": "MARR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Marco Rubio to win the 2028 Republican nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 11.5, "px": { "kalshi": 21, "polymarket": 20.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696053391 }, { "id": "LUIBP26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva to win the 2026 Brazil presidential election", "closes": "Oct 25", "volM": 10, "px": { "kalshi": 56, "polymarket": 56 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696053391 }, { "id": "SFEN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "San Francisco 49ers to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 1.3, "px": { "kalshi": 5, "polymarket": 4.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697855228 }, { "id": "PPNC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Pittsburgh Pirates to win the 2026 National League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 1.1, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.4 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697855228 }, { "id": "WCN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Washington Commanders to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 1, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 0.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697855228 }, { "id": "CCE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Coventry City to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 0.587, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699052707 }, { "id": "TBRAC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Tampa Bay Rays to win the 2026 American League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.538, "px": { "kalshi": 22, "polymarket": 21.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788567333868, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699348744 }, { "id": "MBNC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Milwaukee Brewers to win the 2026 National League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.522, "px": { "kalshi": 24, "polymarket": 22.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788639659380, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699348744 }, { "id": "RIGUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "Rigetti Computing, Inc. to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.098, "px": { "kalshi": 73, "polymarket": 82.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788681924966, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701453584 }, { "id": "WNNC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Washington Nationals to win the 2026 National League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.024, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701453584 }, { "id": "CARNM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Carlos Mendoza to win 2026 NL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.023, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701453584 }, { "id": "JOHVR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "John Thune to win the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 29.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684655027 }, { "id": "ROBVR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to win the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 2.4 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684655027 }, { "id": "BRYAY262", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Bryce Miller to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685256660 }, { "id": "MACAY26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "MacKenzie Gore to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685560773 }, { "id": "CRANM262", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Craig Stammen to win 2026 NL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 2.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788589568689, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685560773 }, { "id": "AICBL26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "AI-chip export licensing to become law in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 28, "polymarket": 28 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685560773 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01878779SUN", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Sunderland to win Sunderland vs Arsenal", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 13, "polymarket": 13 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401878779", "label": "Sunderland vs Arsenal", "matchup": "Sunderland vs Arsenal", "at": "2026-09-12T19:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401878779" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2169, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 3:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689164842 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01878779ARS", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Arsenal to win Sunderland vs Arsenal", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 66, "polymarket": 66 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401878779", "label": "Sunderland vs Arsenal", "matchup": "Sunderland vs Arsenal", "at": "2026-09-12T19:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401878779" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2169, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 3:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689164842 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01878779DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Sunderland vs Arsenal", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 23, "polymarket": 23 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401878779", "label": "Sunderland vs Arsenal", "matchup": "Sunderland vs Arsenal", "at": "2026-09-12T19:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401878779" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2169, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 3:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788688550888, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689164842 }, { "id": "VALFP27", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Valérie Pécresse to win the 2027 French presidential election", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 4, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696653917 }, { "id": "CADFC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Cadillac to win the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship", "closes": "Dec 6", "volM": 3.7, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696653917 }, { "id": "LAUFP27", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Laurent Wauquiez to win the 2027 French presidential election", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 3.6, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696653917 }, { "id": "XAVCG26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Xavier Becerra to win the 2026 California Governor election", "closes": "Nov 3", "volM": 6.9, "px": { "kalshi": 96, "polymarket": 96 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697255806 }, { "id": "DAVFP27", "cat": "Politics", "q": "David Lisnard to win the 2027 French presidential election", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 1.7, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 1.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697255806 }, { "id": "GBPN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Green Bay Packers to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 1.4, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697554063 }, { "id": "SMM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Seattle Mariners to win the 2026 World Series", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.889, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 1.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698159808 }, { "id": "MUE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Manchester United to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 0.569, "px": { "kalshi": 5, "polymarket": 6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699052707 }, { "id": "NYYM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "New York Yankees to win the 2026 World Series", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.816, "px": { "kalshi": 11, "polymarket": 10 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699348744 }, { "id": "BADSA26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "Bad Bunny to be Spotify's top artist of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.486, "px": { "kalshi": 86, "polymarket": 88 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699348744 }, { "id": "NSS26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Nashville SC to win the 2026 MLS Cup", "closes": "Dec 2026", "volM": 0.346, "px": { "kalshi": 20, "polymarket": 19.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788699665449, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700264024 }, { "id": "MTAC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Minnesota Twins to win the 2026 American League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.256, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699665449 }, { "id": "AXEAP27", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Axel Kicillof to win the 2027 Argentina presidential election", "closes": "Oct 2027", "volM": 0.112, "px": { "kalshi": 33, "polymarket": 37 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699955334 }, { "id": "IMCS26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Inter Miami CF to win the 2026 MLS Cup", "closes": "Dec 2026", "volM": 0.171, "px": { "kalshi": 22, "polymarket": 23 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699955334 }, { "id": "DRASA26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "Drake to be Spotify's top artist of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.119, "px": { "kalshi": 10, "polymarket": 9.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788700255813, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700713903 }, { "id": "TAYSA26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "Taylor Swift to be Spotify's top artist of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.053, "px": { "kalshi": 7, "polymarket": 3.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700853281 }, { "id": "DEMBT26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Democrats to hold 235+ House seats and 51+ Senate seats in 2026", "closes": "Nov 3", "volM": 0.201, "px": { "kalshi": 42, "polymarket": 43 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701148466 }, { "id": "PARAY26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Parker Messick to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.033, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701148466 }, { "id": "WJH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Winnipeg Jets to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.022, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701753026 }, { "id": "NYIH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "New York Islanders to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.014, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702050408 }, { "id": "ANDVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Andy Beshear to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.013, "px": { "kalshi": 8, "polymarket": 6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683453613 }, { "id": "HATSS26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "hate that i made you love me to be Spotify's top song of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684351141 }, { "id": "MICUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "Micron Technology, Inc. to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 14, "polymarket": 10 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684351141 }, { "id": "DERAM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Derek Shelton to win 2026 AL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 4.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684351141 }, { "id": "APTSS26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "APT. to be Spotify's top song of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685256660 }, { "id": "STASS26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "Stateside to be Spotify's top song of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685256660 }, { "id": "SKIAM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Skip Schumaker to win 2026 AL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 2.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685256660 }, { "id": "KYLAY26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Kyle Bradish to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685560773 }, { "id": "RANAY26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Ranger Suarez to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685560773 }, { "id": "SOMEB26", "cat": "World", "q": "Somalia to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 77, "polymarket": 58 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788685853447, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686455749 }, { "id": "UNUUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "Unusual Machines to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 30, "polymarket": 38 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685853447 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872929PHI", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Philadelphia Eagles to win Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.006, "px": { "kalshi": 68, "polymarket": 69 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872929", "label": "Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders", "matchup": "Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders", "at": "2026-09-13T20:25:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872929" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 4:25 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788687056343 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872929WSH", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Washington Commanders to win Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.038, "px": { "kalshi": 32, "polymarket": 32 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872929", "label": "Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders", "matchup": "Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders", "at": "2026-09-13T20:25:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872929" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 4:25 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788687056343 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872926LAC", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Los Angeles Chargers to win Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.087, "px": { "kalshi": 83, "polymarket": 82 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872926", "label": "Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals", "matchup": "Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals", "at": "2026-09-13T20:25:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872926" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 8408, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 4:25 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788687056343 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872926ARI", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Arizona Cardinals to win Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.023, "px": { "kalshi": 19, "polymarket": 19 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872926", "label": "Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals", "matchup": "Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals", "at": "2026-09-13T20:25:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872926" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 8408, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 4:25 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788687056343 }, { "id": "DGNCAAF01856679MICH", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Michigan Wolverines to win Michigan Wolverines vs Oklahoma Sooners", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.057, "px": { "kalshi": 34, "polymarket": 36 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ncaaf-401856679", "label": "Michigan Wolverines vs Oklahoma Sooners", "matchup": "Michigan Wolverines vs Oklahoma Sooners", "at": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/college-football/", "importance": 68, "leagueLabel": "College Football", "stage": "COLLEGE FOOTBALL", "avatar": "NCAAF", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "college-football", "eventId": "401856679" }, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 12:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788672924054, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788691856874 }, { "id": "DGNCAAF01856679OU", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Oklahoma Sooners to win Michigan Wolverines vs Oklahoma Sooners", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.157, "px": { "kalshi": 67, "polymarket": 68 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ncaaf-401856679", "label": "Michigan Wolverines vs Oklahoma Sooners", "matchup": "Michigan Wolverines vs Oklahoma Sooners", "at": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/college-football/", "importance": 68, "leagueLabel": "College Football", "stage": "COLLEGE FOOTBALL", "avatar": "NCAAF", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "college-football", "eventId": "401856679" }, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 12:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788672924054, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788691856874 }, { "id": "DGLIGUE01876471OLM", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Marseille to win Marseille vs Paris FC", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 53, "polymarket": 51 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ligue-1-401876471", "label": "Marseille vs Paris FC", "matchup": "Marseille vs Paris FC", "at": "2026-09-06T18:45:00Z", "route": "/sports/ligue-1/", "importance": 62, "leagueLabel": "Ligue 1", "stage": "LIGUE 1", "avatar": "LIGUE-1", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "fra.1", "eventId": "401876471" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 5684, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 2:45 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788691856874 }, { "id": "DGLIGUE01876471PAR", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Paris FC to win Marseille vs Paris FC", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 24, "polymarket": 24 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ligue-1-401876471", "label": "Marseille vs Paris FC", "matchup": "Marseille vs Paris FC", "at": "2026-09-06T18:45:00Z", "route": "/sports/ligue-1/", "importance": 62, "leagueLabel": "Ligue 1", "stage": "LIGUE 1", "avatar": "LIGUE-1", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "fra.1", "eventId": "401876471" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 5684, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 2:45 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788691856874 }, { "id": "DGLIGUE01876471DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Marseille vs Paris FC", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 26, "polymarket": 25 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ligue-1-401876471", "label": "Marseille vs Paris FC", "matchup": "Marseille vs Paris FC", "at": "2026-09-06T18:45:00Z", "route": "/sports/ligue-1/", "importance": 62, "leagueLabel": "Ligue 1", "stage": "LIGUE 1", "avatar": "LIGUE-1", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "fra.1", "eventId": "401876471" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 5684, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 2:45 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788672924054, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788691856874 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872931KC", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Kansas City Chiefs to win Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos", "closes": "Sep 15", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 56, "polymarket": 57 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872931", "label": "Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos", "matchup": "Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos", "at": "2026-09-15T00:15:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872931" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 6865, "timeLabel": "MON SEP 14 · 8:15 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788691547774 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872931DEN", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Denver Broncos to win Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos", "closes": "Sep 15", "volM": 0.048, "px": { "kalshi": 45, "polymarket": 44 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872931", "label": "Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos", "matchup": "Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos", "at": "2026-09-15T00:15:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872931" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 6865, "timeLabel": "MON SEP 14 · 8:15 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788691547774 }, { "id": "GAVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Gavin Newsom to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 28.6, "px": { "kalshi": 15, "polymarket": 14.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695149598 }, { "id": "MICD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Michelle Obama to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 26.3, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 0.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695149598 }, { "id": "MARD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Mark Cuban to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 22.9, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695149598 }, { "id": "MARR282", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Marjorie Taylor Greene to win the 2028 Republican nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 6.7, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696360823 }, { "id": "MANFP27", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Manuel Bompard to win the 2027 French presidential election", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 4.7, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696360823 }, { "id": "PSB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Phoenix Suns to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.779, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698456234 }, { "id": "NFE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Nottingham Forest to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 0.648, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698753447 }, { "id": "NUE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Newcastle United to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 0.62, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698753447 }, { "id": "SKCS26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Sporting Kansas City to win the 2026 MLS Cup", "closes": "Dec 2026", "volM": 0.069, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700557054 }, { "id": "JACAY26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Jacob deGrom to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.06, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700557054 }, { "id": "LAKH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Los Angeles Kings to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.019, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 1.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701753026 }, { "id": "ZOHVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Zohran Mamdani to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.013, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 4.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788682851465 }, { "id": "THEUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "The Boeing Company to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.01, "px": { "kalshi": 9, "polymarket": 8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788682851465 }, { "id": "DAVNM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Dave Roberts to win 2026 NL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 0.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684351141 }, { "id": "COIBL26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "$2.50 Coin to become law in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 10, "polymarket": 11 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684351141 }, { "id": "STUSS26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "\"stupid song to be Spotify's top song of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685256660 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872656SEA", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Seattle Seahawks to win Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots", "closes": "Sep 10", "volM": 0.26, "px": { "kalshi": 63, "polymarket": 63 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872656", "label": "Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots", "matchup": "Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots", "at": "2026-09-10T00:20:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872656" }, "timeLabel": "WED SEP 9 · 8:20 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686452099 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872656NE", "cat": "Sports", "q": "New England Patriots to win Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots", "closes": "Sep 10", "volM": 0.203, "px": { "kalshi": 39, "polymarket": 38 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872656", "label": "Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots", "matchup": "Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots", "at": "2026-09-10T00:20:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872656" }, "timeLabel": "WED SEP 9 · 8:20 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686452099 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872924TEN", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Tennessee Titans to win Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 53, "polymarket": 54 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872924", "label": "Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets", "matchup": "Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872924" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 4401, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686452099 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872924NYJ", "cat": "Sports", "q": "New York Jets to win Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.05, "px": { "kalshi": 48, "polymarket": 47 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872924", "label": "Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets", "matchup": "Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872924" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 4401, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686452099 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872922JAX", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Jacksonville Jaguars to win Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.005, "px": { "kalshi": 79, "polymarket": 79 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872922", "label": "Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns", "matchup": "Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872922" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 9931, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686756342 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872922CLE", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Cleveland Browns to win Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.005, "px": { "kalshi": 23, "polymarket": 23 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872922", "label": "Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns", "matchup": "Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872922" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 9931, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686756342 }, { "id": "DGNCAAF01858438ND", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Wisconsin Badgers", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.19, "px": { "kalshi": 92, "polymarket": 92 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ncaaf-401858438", "label": "Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Wisconsin Badgers", "matchup": "Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Wisconsin Badgers", "at": "2026-09-06T23:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/college-football/", "importance": 68, "leagueLabel": "College Football", "stage": "COLLEGE FOOTBALL", "avatar": "NCAAF", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "college-football", "eventId": "401858438" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 7:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.0003, "at": 1788687652274 }, { "id": "DGNCAAF01858438WIS", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Wisconsin Badgers to win Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Wisconsin Badgers", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.042, "px": { "kalshi": 9, "polymarket": 9 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ncaaf-401858438", "label": "Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Wisconsin Badgers", "matchup": "Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Wisconsin Badgers", "at": "2026-09-06T23:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/college-football/", "importance": 68, "leagueLabel": "College Football", "stage": "COLLEGE FOOTBALL", "avatar": "NCAAF", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "college-football", "eventId": "401858438" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 7:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788687652274 }, { "id": "INCFS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "Increase rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 Fed meeting", "closes": "Sep 16", "volM": 20.8, "px": { "kalshi": 50, "polymarket": 51 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695455825 }, { "id": "ALED28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 16.6, "px": { "kalshi": 17, "polymarket": 19.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695455825 }, { "id": "KAMD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Kamala Harris to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 13.8, "px": { "kalshi": 8, "polymarket": 8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695455825 }, { "id": "ANDD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Andy Beshear to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 13.3, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 2.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695455825 }, { "id": "LEWFD26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Lewis Hamilton to win the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship", "closes": "Dec 6", "volM": 5.4, "px": { "kalshi": 8, "polymarket": 6.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696360823 }, { "id": "LACN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Los Angeles Chargers to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 5.1, "px": { "kalshi": 5, "polymarket": 4.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696360823 }, { "id": "RBFC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Racing Bulls to win the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship", "closes": "Dec 6", "volM": 3.2, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696653917 }, { "id": "TBRM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Tampa Bay Rays to win the 2026 World Series", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.621, "px": { "kalshi": 8, "polymarket": 8.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699348744 }, { "id": "BRUSA26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "Bruno Mars to be Spotify's top artist of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.417, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 1.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699348744 }, { "id": "MARVL26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "María Corina Machado to be Venezuela's de facto leader at the end of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.053, "px": { "kalshi": 6, "polymarket": 3.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700853281 }, { "id": "OLINM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Oliver Marmol to win 2026 NL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.016, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702050408 }, { "id": "GINVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Gina Raimondo to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 8.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684058802 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816828PHI", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Philadelphia Phillies to win Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 51, "polymarket": 51 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816828", "label": "Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves", "matchup": "Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves", "at": "2026-09-06T17:10:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816828" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 4584, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 1:10 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788692755342 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816828ATL", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Atlanta Braves to win Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 51, "polymarket": 50 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816828", "label": "Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves", "matchup": "Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves", "at": "2026-09-06T17:10:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816828" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 4584, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 1:10 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788692755342 }, { "id": "WALNM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Walt Weiss to win 2026 NL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.062, "px": { "kalshi": 32, "polymarket": 32 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701148466 }, { "id": "OSH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Ottawa Senators to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.028, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 2.4 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701148466 }, { "id": "TRAC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Texas Rangers to win the 2026 American League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.037, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 3.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701148466 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872659IND", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Indianapolis Colts to win Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.004, "px": { "kalshi": 38, "polymarket": 38 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872659", "label": "Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens", "matchup": "Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872659" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 8887, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686756342 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872659BAL", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Baltimore Ravens to win Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.004, "px": { "kalshi": 63, "polymarket": 64 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872659", "label": "Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens", "matchup": "Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872659" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 8887, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686756342 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872660HOU", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Houston Texans to win Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.057, "px": { "kalshi": 51, "polymarket": 51 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872660", "label": "Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills", "matchup": "Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872660" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686756342 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872660BUF", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Buffalo Bills to win Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.056, "px": { "kalshi": 50, "polymarket": 50 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872660", "label": "Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills", "matchup": "Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872660" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686756342 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879283CHE", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Chelsea to win Chelsea vs Hull City", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 78, "polymarket": 79 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879283", "label": "Chelsea vs Hull City", "matchup": "Chelsea vs Hull City", "at": "2026-09-12T14:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879283" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2015, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 10:00 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788650728094, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788688550888 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879283HUL", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Hull City to win Chelsea vs Hull City", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 8, "polymarket": 7 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879283", "label": "Chelsea vs Hull City", "matchup": "Chelsea vs Hull City", "at": "2026-09-12T14:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879283" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2015, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 10:00 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788650728094, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788688550888 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879283DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Chelsea vs Hull City", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 15, "polymarket": 15 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879283", "label": "Chelsea vs Hull City", "matchup": "Chelsea vs Hull City", "at": "2026-09-12T14:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879283" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2015, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 10:00 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788688550888 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879279LIV", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Liverpool to win Liverpool vs Fulham", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 69, "polymarket": 69 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879279", "label": "Liverpool vs Fulham", "matchup": "Liverpool vs Fulham", "at": "2026-09-12T14:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879279" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 5177, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 10:00 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788688550888 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879279FUL", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Fulham to win Liverpool vs Fulham", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 14, "polymarket": 15 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879279", "label": "Liverpool vs Fulham", "matchup": "Liverpool vs Fulham", "at": "2026-09-12T14:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879279" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 5177, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 10:00 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788688550888 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879279DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Liverpool vs Fulham", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 19, "polymarket": 20 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879279", "label": "Liverpool vs Fulham", "matchup": "Liverpool vs Fulham", "at": "2026-09-12T14:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879279" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 5177, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 10:00 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788688550888 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882890MCF", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Málaga to win Málaga vs Levante", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 40, "polymarket": 40 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882890", "label": "Málaga vs Levante", "matchup": "Málaga vs Levante", "at": "2026-09-06T16:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882890" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 9477, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 12:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788690055016 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882890LEV", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Levante to win Málaga vs Levante", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 32, "polymarket": 31 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882890", "label": "Málaga vs Levante", "matchup": "Málaga vs Levante", "at": "2026-09-06T16:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882890" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 9477, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 12:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788690055016 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882890DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Málaga vs Levante", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 29, "polymarket": 30 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882890", "label": "Málaga vs Levante", "matchup": "Málaga vs Levante", "at": "2026-09-06T16:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882890" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 9477, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 12:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788690055016 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816827PIT", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Pittsburgh Pirates to win Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 65, "polymarket": 64 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816827", "label": "Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels", "matchup": "Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels", "at": "2026-09-06T17:35:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816827" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 5812, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 1:35 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693352536 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816827LAA", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Los Angeles Angels to win Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 36, "polymarket": 37 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816827", "label": "Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels", "matchup": "Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels", "at": "2026-09-06T17:35:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816827" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 5812, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 1:35 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693352536 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879277TOT", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Tottenham Hotspur to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 49, "polymarket": 49 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879277", "label": "Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton", "matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton", "at": "2026-09-12T16:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879277" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1722, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 12:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693352536 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879277EVE", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Everton to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 26, "polymarket": 27 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879277", "label": "Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton", "matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton", "at": "2026-09-12T16:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879277" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1722, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 12:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693352536 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879277DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 27, "polymarket": 27 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879277", "label": "Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton", "matchup": "Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton", "at": "2026-09-12T16:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879277" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1722, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 12:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693352536 }, { "id": "CPE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Crystal Palace to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 1, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698159808 }, { "id": "TOTE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Tottenham to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 0.933, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698159808 }, { "id": "LARN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Los Angeles Rams to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 2.1, "px": { "kalshi": 17, "polymarket": 17 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698159808 }, { "id": "DPB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Detroit Pistons to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.81, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698456234 }, { "id": "AHB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Atlanta Hawks to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.788, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698456234 }, { "id": "CRNC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Cincinnati Reds to win the 2026 National League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.288, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699665449 }, { "id": "PUS26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Philadelphia Union to win the 2026 MLS Cup", "closes": "Dec 2026", "volM": 0.224, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 1.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699665449 }, { "id": "CRS26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Colorado Rapids to win the 2026 MLS Cup", "closes": "Dec 2026", "volM": 0.141, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 1.4 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699955334 }, { "id": "ABNC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Atlanta Braves to win the 2026 National League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.093, "px": { "kalshi": 12, "polymarket": 13 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700853281 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882891GET", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Getafe to win Getafe vs Celta Vigo", "closes": "Sep 7", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 39, "polymarket": 40 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882891", "label": "Getafe vs Celta Vigo", "matchup": "Getafe vs Celta Vigo", "at": "2026-09-07T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882891" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1219, "timeLabel": "MON SEP 7 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693953102 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882891CEL", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Celta Vigo to win Getafe vs Celta Vigo", "closes": "Sep 7", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 28, "polymarket": 28 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882891", "label": "Getafe vs Celta Vigo", "matchup": "Getafe vs Celta Vigo", "at": "2026-09-07T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882891" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1219, "timeLabel": "MON SEP 7 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693953102 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882891DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Getafe vs Celta Vigo", "closes": "Sep 7", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 34, "polymarket": 34 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882891", "label": "Getafe vs Celta Vigo", "matchup": "Getafe vs Celta Vigo", "at": "2026-09-07T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882891" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1219, "timeLabel": "MON SEP 7 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693953102 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874751BOL", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Bologna to win Bologna vs Sassuolo", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 49, "polymarket": 50 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874751", "label": "Bologna vs Sassuolo", "matchup": "Bologna vs Sassuolo", "at": "2026-09-06T16:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874751" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1723, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 12:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788693953102, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694558471 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874751SAS", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Sassuolo to win Bologna vs Sassuolo", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 23, "polymarket": 24 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874751", "label": "Bologna vs Sassuolo", "matchup": "Bologna vs Sassuolo", "at": "2026-09-06T16:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874751" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1723, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 12:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694558471 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874751DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Bologna vs Sassuolo", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 28, "polymarket": 28 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874751", "label": "Bologna vs Sassuolo", "matchup": "Bologna vs Sassuolo", "at": "2026-09-06T16:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874751" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1723, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 12:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694558471 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874941LAZ", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Lazio to win Lazio vs AC Milan", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 31, "polymarket": 30 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874941", "label": "Lazio vs AC Milan", "matchup": "Lazio vs AC Milan", "at": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874941" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1012, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 12:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693953102 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874941MIL", "cat": "Sports", "q": "AC Milan to win Lazio vs AC Milan", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 41, "polymarket": 43 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874941", "label": "Lazio vs AC Milan", "matchup": "Lazio vs AC Milan", "at": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874941" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1012, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 12:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693953102 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874941DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Lazio vs AC Milan", "closes": "Sep 12", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 29, "polymarket": 30 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874941", "label": "Lazio vs AC Milan", "matchup": "Lazio vs AC Milan", "at": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874941" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1012, "timeLabel": "SAT SEP 12 · 12:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693953102 }, { "id": "NPH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Nashville Predators to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.021, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701753026 }, { "id": "WCH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Washington Capitals to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.019, "px": { "kalshi": 6, "polymarket": 5.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701753026 }, { "id": "ENDSS26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "\"End of Beginning to be Spotify's top song of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.019, "px": { "kalshi": 67, "polymarket": 62.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788682221655, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701753026 }, { "id": "BEASS26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "Beauty And A Beat to be Spotify's top song of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.015, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 3.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702050408 }, { "id": "TARAY26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Tarik Skubal to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.017, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702050408 }, { "id": "HUNVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Hunter Biden to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.005, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 1.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683453613 }, { "id": "CHRVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Chris Murphy to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 1.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684952450 }, { "id": "HILVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Hillary Clinton to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 5.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684952450 }, { "id": "KAMVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Kamala Harris to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 0.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684952450 }, { "id": "LIZVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Liz Cheney to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.4 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684952450 }, { "id": "DIESS26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "Die With A Smile to be Spotify's top song of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685256660 }, { "id": "JOHAM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "John Schneider to win 2026 AL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 1.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685256660 }, { "id": "CARAY26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Carlos Rodón to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685256660 }, { "id": "TONNM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Tony Vitello to win 2026 NL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685560773 }, { "id": "EXPBL26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Export-control chip security to become law in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 33, "polymarket": 36 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685853447 }, { "id": "SHOBL26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "SHOWER Act to become law in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 7, "polymarket": 7.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685853447 }, { "id": "BUREB26", "cat": "World", "q": "Burundi to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 32, "polymarket": 95 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685853447 }, { "id": "NIGEB26", "cat": "World", "q": "Nigeria to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 13, "polymarket": 93 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685853447 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882896ALA", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Alavés to win Alavés vs Osasuna", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 43, "polymarket": 42 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882896", "label": "Alavés vs Osasuna", "matchup": "Alavés vs Osasuna", "at": "2026-09-06T16:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882896" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1595, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 12:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693953102 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882896OSA", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Osasuna to win Alavés vs Osasuna", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 28, "polymarket": 27 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882896", "label": "Alavés vs Osasuna", "matchup": "Alavés vs Osasuna", "at": "2026-09-06T16:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882896" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1595, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 12:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693953102 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882896DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Alavés vs Osasuna", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 31, "polymarket": 32 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882896", "label": "Alavés vs Osasuna", "matchup": "Alavés vs Osasuna", "at": "2026-09-06T16:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882896" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1595, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 12:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788693953102 }, { "id": "DGLIGUE01876475ANG", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Angers to win Angers vs Stade Rennais", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 24, "polymarket": 24 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ligue-1-401876475", "label": "Angers vs Stade Rennais", "matchup": "Angers vs Stade Rennais", "at": "2026-09-06T15:15:00Z", "route": "/sports/ligue-1/", "importance": 62, "leagueLabel": "Ligue 1", "stage": "LIGUE 1", "avatar": "LIGUE-1", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "fra.1", "eventId": "401876475" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3767, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 11:15 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "DGLIGUE01876475REN", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Stade Rennais to win Angers vs Stade Rennais", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 53, "polymarket": 52 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ligue-1-401876475", "label": "Angers vs Stade Rennais", "matchup": "Angers vs Stade Rennais", "at": "2026-09-06T15:15:00Z", "route": "/sports/ligue-1/", "importance": 62, "leagueLabel": "Ligue 1", "stage": "LIGUE 1", "avatar": "LIGUE-1", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "fra.1", "eventId": "401876475" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3767, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 11:15 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "DGLIGUE01876475DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Angers vs Stade Rennais", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 24, "polymarket": 25 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ligue-1-401876475", "label": "Angers vs Stade Rennais", "matchup": "Angers vs Stade Rennais", "at": "2026-09-06T15:15:00Z", "route": "/sports/ligue-1/", "importance": 62, "leagueLabel": "Ligue 1", "stage": "LIGUE 1", "avatar": "LIGUE-1", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "fra.1", "eventId": "401876475" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3767, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 11:15 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872928LV", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Las Vegas Raiders to win Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.008, "px": { "kalshi": 63, "polymarket": 63 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872928", "label": "Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins", "matchup": "Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins", "at": "2026-09-13T20:25:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872928" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 4:25 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686756342 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872928MIA", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Miami Dolphins to win Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.008, "px": { "kalshi": 37, "polymarket": 38 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872928", "label": "Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins", "matchup": "Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins", "at": "2026-09-13T20:25:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872928" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 4:25 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686756342 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882888VAL", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Valencia to win Valencia vs Barcelona", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.247, "px": { "kalshi": 9, "polymarket": 9 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882888", "label": "Valencia vs Barcelona", "matchup": "Valencia vs Barcelona", "at": "2026-09-06T14:15:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882888" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 10:15 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.0002, "at": 1788688861169 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882888BAR", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Barcelona to win Valencia vs Barcelona", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 1.4, "px": { "kalshi": 78, "polymarket": 77 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882888", "label": "Valencia vs Barcelona", "matchup": "Valencia vs Barcelona", "at": "2026-09-06T14:15:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882888" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 10:15 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.001, "at": 1788688861169 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882888DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Valencia vs Barcelona", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.226, "px": { "kalshi": 15, "polymarket": 15 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882888", "label": "Valencia vs Barcelona", "matchup": "Valencia vs Barcelona", "at": "2026-09-06T14:15:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882888" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 10:15 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.0003, "at": 1788688861169 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882893ELC", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Elche to win Elche vs Real Sociedad", "closes": "Sep 7", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 33, "polymarket": 33 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882893", "label": "Elche vs Real Sociedad", "matchup": "Elche vs Real Sociedad", "at": "2026-09-07T19:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882893" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2583, "timeLabel": "MON SEP 7 · 3:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788688861169 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882893RSO", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Real Sociedad to win Elche vs Real Sociedad", "closes": "Sep 7", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 41, "polymarket": 41 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882893", "label": "Elche vs Real Sociedad", "matchup": "Elche vs Real Sociedad", "at": "2026-09-07T19:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882893" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2583, "timeLabel": "MON SEP 7 · 3:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788688861169 }, { "id": "DGLA-LI01882893DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Elche vs Real Sociedad", "closes": "Sep 7", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 28, "polymarket": 28 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-la-liga-401882893", "label": "Elche vs Real Sociedad", "matchup": "Elche vs Real Sociedad", "at": "2026-09-07T19:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/la-liga/", "importance": 66, "leagueLabel": "La Liga", "stage": "LA LIGA", "avatar": "LA-LIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "esp.1", "eventId": "401882893" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2583, "timeLabel": "MON SEP 7 · 3:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788688861169 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874943CAG", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Cagliari to win Cagliari vs Lecce", "closes": "Sep 7", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 48, "polymarket": 48 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874943", "label": "Cagliari vs Lecce", "matchup": "Cagliari vs Lecce", "at": "2026-09-07T16:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874943" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1622, "timeLabel": "MON SEP 7 · 12:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689455503 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874943LEC", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Lecce to win Cagliari vs Lecce", "closes": "Sep 7", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 23, "polymarket": 23 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874943", "label": "Cagliari vs Lecce", "matchup": "Cagliari vs Lecce", "at": "2026-09-07T16:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874943" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1622, "timeLabel": "MON SEP 7 · 12:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689455503 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874943DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Cagliari vs Lecce", "closes": "Sep 7", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 30, "polymarket": 30 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874943", "label": "Cagliari vs Lecce", "matchup": "Cagliari vs Lecce", "at": "2026-09-07T16:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874943" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1622, "timeLabel": "MON SEP 7 · 12:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689455503 }, { "id": "DGNCAAF01858437WASH", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Washington Huskies to win Washington Huskies vs Washington State Cougars", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.192, "px": { "kalshi": 94, "polymarket": 93 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ncaaf-401858437", "label": "Washington Huskies vs Washington State Cougars", "matchup": "Washington Huskies vs Washington State Cougars", "at": "2026-09-06T20:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/college-football/", "importance": 68, "leagueLabel": "College Football", "stage": "COLLEGE FOOTBALL", "avatar": "NCAAF", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "college-football", "eventId": "401858437" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 7323, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 4:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.0003, "at": 1788690656748 }, { "id": "DGNCAAF01858437WSU", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Washington State Cougars to win Washington Huskies vs Washington State Cougars", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.018, "px": { "kalshi": 7, "polymarket": 8 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ncaaf-401858437", "label": "Washington Huskies vs Washington State Cougars", "matchup": "Washington Huskies vs Washington State Cougars", "at": "2026-09-06T20:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/college-football/", "importance": 68, "leagueLabel": "College Football", "stage": "COLLEGE FOOTBALL", "avatar": "NCAAF", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "college-football", "eventId": "401858437" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 7323, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 4:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788690656748 }, { "id": "STED28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Stephen A. Smith to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 21.9, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695149598 }, { "id": "RANR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Rand Paul to win the 2028 Republican nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 19.4, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695149598 }, { "id": "BRSM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Boston Red Sox to win the 2026 World Series", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 2.4, "px": { "kalshi": 5, "polymarket": 5.4 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696952940 }, { "id": "PEN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Philadelphia Eagles to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 1.2, "px": { "kalshi": 5, "polymarket": 4.4 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697855228 }, { "id": "SDFS26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "San Diego FC to win the 2026 MLS Cup", "closes": "Dec 2026", "volM": 1.2, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 1.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697855228 }, { "id": "PEB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Philadelphia 76ers to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 1.8, "px": { "kalshi": 11, "polymarket": 11 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697855228 }, { "id": "DNB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Denver Nuggets to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.747, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 3.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698456234 }, { "id": "LALB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Los Angeles Lakers to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.768, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 1.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698456234 }, { "id": "DMB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Dallas Mavericks to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.716, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698456234 }, { "id": "SASB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "San Antonio Spurs to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.838, "px": { "kalshi": 23, "polymarket": 21 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698753447 }, { "id": "IPB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Indiana Pacers to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.649, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 1.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698753447 }, { "id": "CHB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Charlotte Hornets to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.562, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699052707 }, { "id": "PPNC262", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Philadelphia Phillies to win the 2026 National League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.105, "px": { "kalshi": 12, "polymarket": 13 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700557054 }, { "id": "EOH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Edmonton Oilers to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.025, "px": { "kalshi": 8, "polymarket": 9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701453584 }, { "id": "THEEB26", "cat": "World", "q": "the Republic of the Congo to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.032, "px": { "kalshi": 20, "polymarket": 34 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788682851465 }, { "id": "THEEB262", "cat": "World", "q": "the United States to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.027, "px": { "kalshi": 16, "polymarket": 24 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788682851465 }, { "id": "ALEVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.033, "px": { "kalshi": 8, "polymarket": 9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788682851465 }, { "id": "DWAUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "D-Wave Quantum Inc. to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.004, "px": { "kalshi": 80, "polymarket": 85 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683750569 }, { "id": "BRYAY26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Bryan Woo to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.005, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683750569 }, { "id": "SOUEB26", "cat": "World", "q": "South Sudan to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 55, "polymarket": 63 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683750569 }, { "id": "FREUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "Freeport-McMoRan Inc. to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 12, "polymarket": 11 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683750569 }, { "id": "BLANM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Blake Butera to win 2026 NL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 1.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684058802 }, { "id": "TRUBL26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Trump Airport to become law in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 5, "polymarket": 5.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684058802 }, { "id": "PHIVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Phil Murphy to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 6.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684058802 }, { "id": "CANEB26", "cat": "World", "q": "Canada to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 15, "polymarket": 26 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684058802 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816830MIA", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Miami Marlins to win Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 43, "polymarket": 43 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816830", "label": "Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs", "matchup": "Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs", "at": "2026-09-06T17:40:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816830" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3686, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 1:40 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816830CHC", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Chicago Cubs to win Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 58, "polymarket": 58 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816830", "label": "Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs", "matchup": "Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs", "at": "2026-09-06T17:40:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816830" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3686, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 1:40 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816833NYM", "cat": "Sports", "q": "New York Mets to win New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 59, "polymarket": 59 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816833", "label": "New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants", "matchup": "New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants", "at": "2026-09-06T17:40:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816833" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2651, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 1:40 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816833SF", "cat": "Sports", "q": "San Francisco Giants to win New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 42, "polymarket": 42 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816833", "label": "New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants", "matchup": "New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants", "at": "2026-09-06T17:40:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816833" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2651, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 1:40 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "DGBUNDE01884805SGE", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Eintracht Frankfurt to win Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.029, "px": { "kalshi": 52, "polymarket": 52 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-bundesliga-401884805", "label": "Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg", "matchup": "Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg", "at": "2026-09-06T15:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/bundesliga/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Bundesliga", "stage": "BUNDESLIGA", "avatar": "BUNDESLIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ger.1", "eventId": "401884805" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3440, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 11:30 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788675318856, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.0001, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "DGBUNDE01884805FCA", "cat": "Sports", "q": "FC Augsburg to win Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.029, "px": { "kalshi": 26, "polymarket": 25 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-bundesliga-401884805", "label": "Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg", "matchup": "Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg", "at": "2026-09-06T15:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/bundesliga/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Bundesliga", "stage": "BUNDESLIGA", "avatar": "BUNDESLIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ger.1", "eventId": "401884805" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3440, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 11:30 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.0001, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "DGBUNDE01884805DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.029, "px": { "kalshi": 24, "polymarket": 24 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-bundesliga-401884805", "label": "Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg", "matchup": "Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg", "at": "2026-09-06T15:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/bundesliga/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Bundesliga", "stage": "BUNDESLIGA", "avatar": "BUNDESLIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ger.1", "eventId": "401884805" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3440, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 11:30 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.0001, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "ELIVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Elissa Slotkin to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.014, "px": { "kalshi": 13, "polymarket": 7.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684952450 }, { "id": "LEBVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "LeBron James to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684952450 }, { "id": "MARVD282", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Mark Cuban to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684952450 }, { "id": "MICVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Michelle Obama to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.004, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 1.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684952450 }, { "id": "RAHVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Rahm Emanuel to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684952450 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872657LAR", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Los Angeles Rams to win Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers", "closes": "Sep 11", "volM": 0.136, "px": { "kalshi": 64, "polymarket": 65 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872657", "label": "Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers", "matchup": "Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers", "at": "2026-09-11T00:35:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872657" }, "timeLabel": "THU SEP 10 · 8:35 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686452099 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872657SF", "cat": "Sports", "q": "San Francisco 49ers to win Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers", "closes": "Sep 11", "volM": 0.156, "px": { "kalshi": 37, "polymarket": 36 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872657", "label": "Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers", "matchup": "Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers", "at": "2026-09-11T00:35:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872657" }, "timeLabel": "THU SEP 10 · 8:35 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686452099 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872925CIN", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Cincinnati Bengals to win Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 66, "polymarket": 66 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872925", "label": "Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "matchup": "Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872925" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 6431, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686452099 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872925TB", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 35, "polymarket": 36 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872925", "label": "Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "matchup": "Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872925" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 6431, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686452099 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872923DET", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Detroit Lions to win Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.078, "px": { "kalshi": 75, "polymarket": 75 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872923", "label": "Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints", "matchup": "Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872923" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 5438, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.0001, "at": 1788686452099 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872923NO", "cat": "Sports", "q": "New Orleans Saints to win Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.03, "px": { "kalshi": 27, "polymarket": 26 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872923", "label": "Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints", "matchup": "Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872923" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 5438, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788686452099 }, { "id": "DGNCAAF01858212FSU", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Florida State Seminoles to win Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs", "closes": "Sep 7", "volM": 0.085, "px": { "kalshi": 42, "polymarket": 43 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ncaaf-401858212", "label": "Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs", "matchup": "Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs", "at": "2026-09-07T23:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/college-football/", "importance": 68, "leagueLabel": "College Football", "stage": "COLLEGE FOOTBALL", "avatar": "NCAAF", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "college-football", "eventId": "401858212" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1809, "timeLabel": "MON SEP 7 · 7:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788687955344 }, { "id": "DGNCAAF01858212SMU", "cat": "Sports", "q": "SMU Mustangs to win Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs", "closes": "Sep 7", "volM": 0.119, "px": { "kalshi": 59, "polymarket": 59 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ncaaf-401858212", "label": "Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs", "matchup": "Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs", "at": "2026-09-07T23:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/college-football/", "importance": 68, "leagueLabel": "College Football", "stage": "COLLEGE FOOTBALL", "avatar": "NCAAF", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "college-football", "eventId": "401858212" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1809, "timeLabel": "MON SEP 7 · 7:30 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.0001, "at": 1788687955344 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874954JUV", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Juventus to win Juventus vs AC Milan", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.022, "px": { "kalshi": 46, "polymarket": 46 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874954", "label": "Juventus vs AC Milan", "matchup": "Juventus vs AC Milan", "at": "2026-09-06T18:45:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874954" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 2:45 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689455503 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874954MIL", "cat": "Sports", "q": "AC Milan to win Juventus vs AC Milan", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.022, "px": { "kalshi": 26, "polymarket": 26 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874954", "label": "Juventus vs AC Milan", "matchup": "Juventus vs AC Milan", "at": "2026-09-06T18:45:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874954" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 2:45 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689455503 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874954DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Juventus vs AC Milan", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.022, "px": { "kalshi": 30, "polymarket": 30 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874954", "label": "Juventus vs AC Milan", "matchup": "Juventus vs AC Milan", "at": "2026-09-06T18:45:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874954" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 2:45 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689455503 }, { "id": "DGLIGUE01876459REN", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Stade Rennais to win Stade Rennais vs Marseille", "closes": "Sep 11", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 42, "polymarket": 40 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ligue-1-401876459", "label": "Stade Rennais vs Marseille", "matchup": "Stade Rennais vs Marseille", "at": "2026-09-11T18:45:00Z", "route": "/sports/ligue-1/", "importance": 62, "leagueLabel": "Ligue 1", "stage": "LIGUE 1", "avatar": "LIGUE-1", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "fra.1", "eventId": "401876459" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1967, "timeLabel": "FRI SEP 11 · 2:45 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689761843 }, { "id": "DGLIGUE01876459OLM", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Marseille to win Stade Rennais vs Marseille", "closes": "Sep 11", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 35, "polymarket": 36 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ligue-1-401876459", "label": "Stade Rennais vs Marseille", "matchup": "Stade Rennais vs Marseille", "at": "2026-09-11T18:45:00Z", "route": "/sports/ligue-1/", "importance": 62, "leagueLabel": "Ligue 1", "stage": "LIGUE 1", "avatar": "LIGUE-1", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "fra.1", "eventId": "401876459" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1967, "timeLabel": "FRI SEP 11 · 2:45 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689761843 }, { "id": "DGLIGUE01876459DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Stade Rennais vs Marseille", "closes": "Sep 11", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 24, "polymarket": 25 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ligue-1-401876459", "label": "Stade Rennais vs Marseille", "matchup": "Stade Rennais vs Marseille", "at": "2026-09-11T18:45:00Z", "route": "/sports/ligue-1/", "importance": 62, "leagueLabel": "Ligue 1", "stage": "LIGUE 1", "avatar": "LIGUE-1", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "fra.1", "eventId": "401876459" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1967, "timeLabel": "FRI SEP 11 · 2:45 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788689761843 }, { "id": "MIKR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Mike Pence to win the 2028 Republican nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 43.5, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695149598 }, { "id": "SARR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Sarah Huckabee Sanders to win the 2028 Republican nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 34.4, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695149598 }, { "id": "CORD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Cory Booker to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 26.1, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695149598 }, { "id": "PIEFD26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Pierre Gasly to win the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship", "closes": "Dec 6", "volM": 11.5, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695749316 }, { "id": "AUGBP26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Augusto Cury to win the 2026 Brazil presidential election", "closes": "Oct 25", "volM": 3.6, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 1.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696653917 }, { "id": "AMFC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Aston Martin to win the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship", "closes": "Dec 6", "volM": 3.3, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696653917 }, { "id": "STECG26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Steve Hilton to win the 2026 California Governor election", "closes": "Nov 3", "volM": 3, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 4.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696952940 }, { "id": "GABFP27", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Gabriel Attal to win the 2027 French presidential election", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 2.1, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 3.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696952940 }, { "id": "NYJN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "New York Jets to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 2, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696952940 }, { "id": "CFS26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Charlotte FC to win the 2026 MLS Cup", "closes": "Dec 2026", "volM": 2, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 2.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696952940 }, { "id": "KCCN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Kansas City Chiefs to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 1.6, "px": { "kalshi": 6, "polymarket": 6.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697554063 }, { "id": "DBN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Denver Broncos to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 1.6, "px": { "kalshi": 6, "polymarket": 4.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697554063 }, { "id": "ACN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Arizona Cardinals to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 1.2, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788697554063 }, { "id": "FERFC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Ferrari to win the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship", "closes": "Dec 6", "volM": 0.86, "px": { "kalshi": 10, "polymarket": 9.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.0002, "at": 1788698456234 }, { "id": "ARSE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Arsenal to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 0.952, "px": { "kalshi": 51, "polymarket": 49 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698456234 }, { "id": "PTBB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Portland Trail Blazers to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.719, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698753447 }, { "id": "CHEE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Chelsea to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 0.769, "px": { "kalshi": 15, "polymarket": 12 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698753447 }, { "id": "CANR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Candace Owens to win the 2028 Republican nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.661, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698753447 }, { "id": "BNB27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Brooklyn Nets to win the 2027 NBA Finals", "closes": "2027", "volM": 0.642, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698753447 }, { "id": "SUNE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Sunderland to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 0.64, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788698753447 }, { "id": "LIVE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Liverpool to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 0.599, "px": { "kalshi": 7, "polymarket": 6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699052707 }, { "id": "AVE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Aston Villa to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 0.522, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699052707 }, { "id": "LUE27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Leeds United to win the 2026-27 Premier League", "closes": "May 2027", "volM": 0.406, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788699348744 }, { "id": "FDS26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "FC Dallas to win the 2026 MLS Cup", "closes": "Dec 2026", "volM": 0.096, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 5.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700255813 }, { "id": "ROBNM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Rob Thomson to win 2026 NL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.056, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700853281 }, { "id": "SMAC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Seattle Mariners to win the 2026 American League Championship", "closes": "Nov 1", "volM": 0.062, "px": { "kalshi": 3, "polymarket": 2.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788700853281 }, { "id": "VGKH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Vegas Golden Knights to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.027, "px": { "kalshi": 7, "polymarket": 8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701148466 }, { "id": "CAH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Colorado Avalanche to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.035, "px": { "kalshi": 10, "polymarket": 11 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701148466 }, { "id": "BABSS26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "\"Babydoll — Dominic Fike\" to be Spotify's top song of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.022, "px": { "kalshi": 28, "polymarket": 27.7 }, "move": -3, "movedAt": 1788701753026, "moving": true, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702063681 }, { "id": "CBH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Chicago Blackhawks to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.021, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701753026 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874768FRO", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Frosinone to win Frosinone vs Venezia", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.086, "px": { "kalshi": 68, "polymarket": 67 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874768", "label": "Frosinone vs Venezia", "matchup": "Frosinone vs Venezia", "at": "2026-09-06T13:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874768" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 6450, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:00 AM ET" }, "move": 2, "movedAt": 1788702063681, "moving": true, "volRate": 0.0004, "at": 1788702063681 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874768VEN", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Venezia to win Frosinone vs Venezia", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.018, "px": { "kalshi": 12, "polymarket": 12 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874768", "label": "Frosinone vs Venezia", "matchup": "Frosinone vs Venezia", "at": "2026-09-06T13:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874768" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 6450, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:00 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788701156384, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702063681 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874768DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Frosinone vs Venezia", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.018, "px": { "kalshi": 21, "polymarket": 21 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874768", "label": "Frosinone vs Venezia", "matchup": "Frosinone vs Venezia", "at": "2026-09-06T13:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874768" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 6450, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:00 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788701156384, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702063681 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816832CIN", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Cincinnati Reds to win Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.004, "px": { "kalshi": 41, "polymarket": 41 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816832", "label": "Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers", "matchup": "Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers", "at": "2026-09-06T16:10:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816832" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 7161, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 12:10 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816832MIL", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Milwaukee Brewers to win Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.065, "px": { "kalshi": 61, "polymarket": 60 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816832", "label": "Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers", "matchup": "Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers", "at": "2026-09-06T16:10:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816832" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 7161, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 12:10 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.0001, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816829BAL", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Baltimore Orioles to win Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 44, "polymarket": 44 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816829", "label": "Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox", "matchup": "Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox", "at": "2026-09-06T17:35:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816829" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3678, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 1:35 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816829BOS", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Boston Red Sox to win Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.058, "px": { "kalshi": 56, "polymarket": 57 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816829", "label": "Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox", "matchup": "Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox", "at": "2026-09-06T17:35:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816829" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3678, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 1:35 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0.0002, "at": 1788694252416 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816831CLE", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Cleveland Guardians to win Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 61, "polymarket": 62 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816831", "label": "Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers", "matchup": "Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers", "at": "2026-09-06T17:40:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816831" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3157, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 1:40 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694555035 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816831DET", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Detroit Tigers to win Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 40, "polymarket": 39 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816831", "label": "Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers", "matchup": "Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers", "at": "2026-09-06T17:40:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816831" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3157, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 1:40 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694555035 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816834HOU", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Houston Astros to win Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 51, "polymarket": 51 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816834", "label": "Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks", "matchup": "Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks", "at": "2026-09-06T18:10:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816834" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3082, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 2:10 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694555035 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816834ARI", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Arizona Diamondbacks to win Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 51, "polymarket": 50 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816834", "label": "Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks", "matchup": "Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks", "at": "2026-09-06T18:10:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816834" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3082, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 2:10 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694555035 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816837KC", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Kansas City Royals to win Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 48, "polymarket": 48 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816837", "label": "Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays", "matchup": "Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays", "at": "2026-09-06T18:10:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816837" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 4091, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 2:10 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694555035 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816837TOR", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Toronto Blue Jays to win Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 53, "polymarket": 53 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816837", "label": "Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays", "matchup": "Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays", "at": "2026-09-06T18:10:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816837" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 4091, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 2:10 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694555035 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816836TEX", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Texas Rangers to win Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 50, "polymarket": 50 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816836", "label": "Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays", "matchup": "Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays", "at": "2026-09-06T18:35:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816836" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2782, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 2:35 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694555035 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816836TB", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Tampa Bay Rays to win Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 51, "polymarket": 51 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816836", "label": "Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays", "matchup": "Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays", "at": "2026-09-06T18:35:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816836" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2782, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 2:35 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694555035 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816839SEA", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Seattle Mariners to win Seattle Mariners vs Athletics", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 64, "polymarket": 64 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816839", "label": "Seattle Mariners vs Athletics", "matchup": "Seattle Mariners vs Athletics", "at": "2026-09-06T20:10:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816839" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1192, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 4:10 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694555035 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816839ATH", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Athletics to win Seattle Mariners vs Athletics", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 37, "polymarket": 37 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816839", "label": "Seattle Mariners vs Athletics", "matchup": "Seattle Mariners vs Athletics", "at": "2026-09-06T20:10:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816839" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1192, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 4:10 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694555035 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816835CHW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Chicago White Sox to win Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 58, "polymarket": 58 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816835", "label": "Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins", "matchup": "Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins", "at": "2026-09-06T22:20:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816835" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1272, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 6:20 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694555035 }, { "id": "DGMLB01816835MIN", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Minnesota Twins to win Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 43, "polymarket": 43 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-mlb-401816835", "label": "Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins", "matchup": "Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins", "at": "2026-09-06T22:20:00Z", "route": "/sports/mlb/", "importance": 58, "leagueLabel": "MLB", "stage": "MLB", "avatar": "MLB", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement and tie boilerplate differs between venues; a tie is not a possible result of a completed game in this league. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "baseball", "league": "mlb", "eventId": "401816835" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1272, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 6:20 PM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788694555035 }, { "id": "DGBUNDE01884803HSV", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Hamburg SV to win Hamburg SV vs Mainz", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 31, "polymarket": 31 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-bundesliga-401884803", "label": "Hamburg SV vs Mainz", "matchup": "Hamburg SV vs Mainz", "at": "2026-09-06T13:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/bundesliga/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Bundesliga", "stage": "BUNDESLIGA", "avatar": "BUNDESLIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ger.1", "eventId": "401884803" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2327, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:30 AM ET" }, "move": -2, "movedAt": 1788702063681, "moving": true, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702063681 }, { "id": "DGBUNDE01884803M05", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Mainz to win Hamburg SV vs Mainz", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 48, "polymarket": 41 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-bundesliga-401884803", "label": "Hamburg SV vs Mainz", "matchup": "Hamburg SV vs Mainz", "at": "2026-09-06T13:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/bundesliga/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Bundesliga", "stage": "BUNDESLIGA", "avatar": "BUNDESLIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ger.1", "eventId": "401884803" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2327, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:30 AM ET" }, "move": 8, "movedAt": 1788702063681, "moving": true, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702063681 }, { "id": "DGBUNDE01884803DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Hamburg SV vs Mainz", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 27, "polymarket": 27 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-bundesliga-401884803", "label": "Hamburg SV vs Mainz", "matchup": "Hamburg SV vs Mainz", "at": "2026-09-06T13:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/bundesliga/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Bundesliga", "stage": "BUNDESLIGA", "avatar": "BUNDESLIGA", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ger.1", "eventId": "401884803" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2327, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:30 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702063681 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874987PAR", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Parma to win Parma vs Monza", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 28, "polymarket": 28 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874987", "label": "Parma vs Monza", "matchup": "Parma vs Monza", "at": "2026-09-06T13:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874987" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2697, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:00 AM ET" }, "move": -4, "movedAt": 1788701463199, "moving": true, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701759282 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874987MON", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Monza to win Parma vs Monza", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 35, "polymarket": 36 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874987", "label": "Parma vs Monza", "matchup": "Parma vs Monza", "at": "2026-09-06T13:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874987" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2697, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:00 AM ET" }, "move": -2, "movedAt": 1788701759282, "moving": true, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701759282 }, { "id": "DGSERIE01874987DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Parma vs Monza", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 38, "polymarket": 38 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-serie-a-401874987", "label": "Parma vs Monza", "matchup": "Parma vs Monza", "at": "2026-09-06T13:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/serie-a/", "importance": 64, "leagueLabel": "Serie A", "stage": "SERIE A", "avatar": "SERIE-A", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "ita.1", "eventId": "401874987" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2697, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:00 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701759282 }, { "id": "DGLIGUE01876467TRY", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Troyes to win Troyes vs Strasbourg", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.006, "px": { "kalshi": 61, "polymarket": 60 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ligue-1-401876467", "label": "Troyes vs Strasbourg", "matchup": "Troyes vs Strasbourg", "at": "2026-09-06T13:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/ligue-1/", "importance": 62, "leagueLabel": "Ligue 1", "stage": "LIGUE 1", "avatar": "LIGUE-1", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "fra.1", "eventId": "401876467" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1805, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:00 AM ET" }, "move": 2, "movedAt": 1788701463199, "moving": true, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701463199 }, { "id": "DGLIGUE01876467STR", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Strasbourg to win Troyes vs Strasbourg", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.006, "px": { "kalshi": 17, "polymarket": 16 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ligue-1-401876467", "label": "Troyes vs Strasbourg", "matchup": "Troyes vs Strasbourg", "at": "2026-09-06T13:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/ligue-1/", "importance": 62, "leagueLabel": "Ligue 1", "stage": "LIGUE 1", "avatar": "LIGUE-1", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "fra.1", "eventId": "401876467" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1805, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:00 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788700733845, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701463199 }, { "id": "DGLIGUE01876467DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Troyes vs Strasbourg", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.006, "px": { "kalshi": 25, "polymarket": 25 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-ligue-1-401876467", "label": "Troyes vs Strasbourg", "matchup": "Troyes vs Strasbourg", "at": "2026-09-06T13:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/ligue-1/", "importance": 62, "leagueLabel": "Ligue 1", "stage": "LIGUE 1", "avatar": "LIGUE-1", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "fra.1", "eventId": "401876467" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 1805, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:00 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788700567801, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788701463199 }, { "id": "NJDH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "New Jersey Devils to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.018, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 2.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702050408 }, { "id": "VCH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Vancouver Canucks to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.018, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702050408 }, { "id": "NVIUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "NVIDIA Corporation to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.029, "px": { "kalshi": 13, "polymarket": 15 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702050408 }, { "id": "DRWH27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Detroit Red Wings to win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup", "closes": "Jun 2027", "volM": 0.013, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788682851465 }, { "id": "PATNM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Pat Murphy to win 2026 NL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.012, "px": { "kalshi": 42, "polymarket": 42.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788682851465 }, { "id": "TIKUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.006, "px": { "kalshi": 10, "polymarket": 4.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683453613 }, { "id": "SMIBL26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Smithsonian Women’s History Museum to become law in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.004, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 4.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683453613 }, { "id": "JDVVR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "J.D. Vance to win the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.018, "px": { "kalshi": 7, "polymarket": 9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683453613 }, { "id": "NICVL26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Nicolás Maduro to be Venezuela's de facto leader at the end of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.004, "px": { "kalshi": 5, "polymarket": 0.2 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788683453613 }, { "id": "GAVAY26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Gavin Williams to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.004, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684058802 }, { "id": "JOSAY26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Jose Soriano to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.004, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684058802 }, { "id": "STEVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Stephen A. Smith to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 1.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684058802 }, { "id": "RWAEB26", "cat": "World", "q": "Rwanda to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 26, "polymarket": 34 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684351141 }, { "id": "DROSS26", "cat": "Culture", "q": "Drop Dead to be Spotify's top song of 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684351141 }, { "id": "LOCUS26", "cat": "Economics", "q": "Lockheed Martin Corporation to receive a US government stake in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.017, "px": { "kalshi": 15, "polymarket": 12 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684351141 }, { "id": "MARAM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Mark Kotsay to win 2026 AL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.4 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684351141 }, { "id": "DREAY26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Drew Rasmussen to win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.003, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.5 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684351141 }, { "id": "BRIVR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Brian Kemp to win the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 7.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684351141 }, { "id": "ERIVR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Erika Kirk to win the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.005, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 1.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684655027 }, { "id": "GREVR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Greg Abbott to win the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.8 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684655027 }, { "id": "DONVR282", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Donald Trump Jr. to win the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.005, "px": { "kalshi": 4, "polymarket": 2.9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788684655027 }, { "id": "ROYVD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Roy Cooper to win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 3.3 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685256660 }, { "id": "INDEB26", "cat": "World", "q": "India to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0.001, "px": { "kalshi": 32, "polymarket": 68 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685256660 }, { "id": "SELBL26", "cat": "Politics", "q": "SELF DRIVE Act to become law in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 7, "polymarket": 9 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685853447 }, { "id": "GLEVR28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Glenn Youngkin to win the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 0.002, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 5.4 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685853447 }, { "id": "KENEB26", "cat": "World", "q": "Kenya to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 35, "polymarket": 29 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685853447 }, { "id": "JOEAM26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Joe Espada to win 2026 AL Manager of the Year", "closes": "Dec 31", "volM": 0, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 1.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788685853447 }, { "id": "DGNFL01872658PIT", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Pittsburgh Steelers to win Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.021, "px": { "kalshi": 64, "polymarket": 64 }, "at": 1788682062141, "verifiedSeed": true, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872658", "label": "Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons", "matchup": "Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872658" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2660, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" } }, { "id": "DGNFL01872658ATL", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Atlanta Falcons to win Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.021, "px": { "kalshi": 37, "polymarket": 38 }, "at": 1788682062141, "verifiedSeed": true, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872658", "label": "Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons", "matchup": "Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons", "at": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872658" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 2660, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 1:00 PM ET" } }, { "id": "DGNFL01872927MIN", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Minnesota Vikings to win Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.052, "px": { "kalshi": 54, "polymarket": 53 }, "at": 1788682062141, "verifiedSeed": true, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872927", "label": "Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers", "matchup": "Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers", "at": "2026-09-13T20:25:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872927" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3802, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 4:25 PM ET" } }, { "id": "DGNFL01872927GB", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Green Bay Packers to win Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers", "closes": "Sep 13", "volM": 0.052, "px": { "kalshi": 48, "polymarket": 48 }, "at": 1788682062141, "verifiedSeed": true, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-nfl-401872927", "label": "Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers", "matchup": "Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers", "at": "2026-09-13T20:25:00Z", "route": "/sports/nfl/", "importance": 82, "leagueLabel": "NFL", "stage": "NFL", "avatar": "NFL", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": false, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 2, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ between venues for abandoned or relocated games. Normal completed-game settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": true, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "football", "league": "nfl", "eventId": "401872927" }, "liquidityDisclosure": "Both venues quote this game, but the book is still thin this far from kickoff. The prices are real and settlement is equivalent; depth is limited, so no best price is ranked until liquidity builds.", "weakerBookWagered": 3802, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 13 · 4:25 PM ET" } }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879292ARS", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Arsenal to win Arsenal vs Chelsea", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.222, "px": { "kalshi": 58, "polymarket": 56 }, "at": 1788682062141, "verifiedSeed": true, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879292", "label": "Arsenal vs Chelsea", "matchup": "Arsenal vs Chelsea", "at": "2026-09-06T15:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879292" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 11:30 AM ET" } }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879292CHE", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Chelsea to win Arsenal vs Chelsea", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.222, "px": { "kalshi": 19, "polymarket": 19 }, "at": 1788682062141, "verifiedSeed": true, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879292", "label": "Arsenal vs Chelsea", "matchup": "Arsenal vs Chelsea", "at": "2026-09-06T15:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879292" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 11:30 AM ET" } }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879292DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Arsenal vs Chelsea", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.222, "px": { "kalshi": 25, "polymarket": 25 }, "at": 1788682062141, "verifiedSeed": true, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879292", "label": "Arsenal vs Chelsea", "matchup": "Arsenal vs Chelsea", "at": "2026-09-06T15:30:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879292" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 11:30 AM ET" } }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879291EVE", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Everton to win Everton vs Manchester United", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.195, "px": { "kalshi": 21, "polymarket": 21 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879291", "label": "Everton vs Manchester United", "matchup": "Everton vs Manchester United", "at": "2026-09-06T13:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879291" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:00 AM ET" }, "move": -2, "movedAt": 1788702063681, "moving": true, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702063681 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879291MAN", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Manchester United to win Everton vs Manchester United", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 1.1, "px": { "kalshi": 50, "polymarket": 49 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879291", "label": "Everton vs Manchester United", "matchup": "Everton vs Manchester United", "at": "2026-09-06T13:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879291" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:00 AM ET" }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 1788700264024, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788702063681 }, { "id": "DGPREMI01879291DRW", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Draw to be the result in Everton vs Manchester United", "closes": "Sep 6", "volM": 0.256, "px": { "kalshi": 31, "polymarket": 31 }, "eventMeta": { "id": "espn-premier-league-401879291", "label": "Everton vs Manchester United", "matchup": "Everton vs Manchester United", "at": "2026-09-06T13:00:00Z", "route": "/sports/premier-league/", "importance": 72, "leagueLabel": "Premier League", "stage": "PREMIER LEAGUE", "avatar": "PREMIER-LEAGUE", "headToHead": true, "drawAllowed": true, "liveOnlyVerified": true, "expectedOutcomes": 3, "settlementDisclosure": "Cancellation/postponement terms differ: Polymarket keeps a postponed game open and settles a fully canceled game as Draw, while Kalshi may settle at a fair price if the game is canceled or moved more than 48 hours. Normal full-time settlement is equivalent.", "earlyMarket": false, "scoreSource": { "provider": "espn", "sport": "soccer", "league": "eng.1", "eventId": "401879291" }, "timeLabel": "SUN SEP 6 · 9:00 AM ET" }, "move": 5, "movedAt": 1788702063681, "moving": true, "volRate": 0.0072, "at": 1788702063681 }, { "id": "OLIFD26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Oliver Bearman to win the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship", "closes": "Dec 6", "volM": 12.9, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695749316 }, { "id": "PETD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Pete Buttigieg to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 12.4, "px": { "kalshi": 6, "polymarket": 5.7 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695749316 }, { "id": "SERFD26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Sergio Pérez to win the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship", "closes": "Dec 6", "volM": 11.8, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695749316 }, { "id": "ROKD28", "cat": "Politics", "q": "Ro Khanna to win the 2028 Democratic nomination", "closes": "2028", "volM": 11.4, "px": { "kalshi": 2, "polymarket": 2.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788695749316 }, { "id": "CPN27", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Carolina Panthers to win the 2026-27 NFL Championship", "closes": "2027", "volM": 3.8, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.6 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696653917 }, { "id": "ALPFC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Alpine to win the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship", "closes": "Dec 6", "volM": 3.4, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, "movedAt": 0, "moving": false, "volRate": 0, "at": 1788696653917 }, { "id": "AUDFC26", "cat": "Sports", "q": "Audi to win the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship", "closes": "Dec 6", "volM": 3.2, "px": { "kalshi": 1, "polymarket": 0.1 }, "move": 0, 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